Publication
Author:Haroldo Machado Filho
Subject: Rural Development
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Abstract: "Climate change has increasingly been recognised as the main challenge facing humanity in the coming decades. The starting point of this study is the consideration of future climate change scenarios and the uncertainties they bring. First, global projections available in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) are presented. Second, they are compared with regional scenarios (downscaling) developed by the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE), focusing on the two main IPCC scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5)1 and the two main global models (MIROC and Hadley Centre) for the periods 2011–2040 and 2041–2070, to identify the main trends in terms of changes in temperature and precipitation for the North and Northeast regions of Brazil (more specifically, in the Amazon, Semi-arid and Cerrado biomes)". (…)

keywords: Climate change, impacts, family farming, North, Northeast, Brazil
Date Publication: 05/13/2016 - 09:15
Type/Issue: Policy Research Brief / 52
ISSN: 2358-1379
Language: English